{"id":21682,"date":"2012-08-20T12:13:34","date_gmt":"2012-08-20T08:13:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mideastposts.com\/?p=21682"},"modified":"2012-08-20T12:13:40","modified_gmt":"2012-08-20T08:13:40","slug":"diplomatic-ruin-international-isolation-peres-has-enough","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mideastposts.com\/showcase\/diplomatic-ruin-international-isolation-peres-has-enough\/","title":{"rendered":"‘Diplomatic Ruin’, ‘International Isolation’: Peres Has Enough"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

For the past couple of weeks, Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu and his Minister of Defense, Ehud Barak<\/strong><\/a>, have been making strident noises about a unilateral Israeli attack on Iran\u2019s nuclear enrichment facilities.<\/p>\n

It is hard to believe that the far right wing Israeli government actually would be so foolish as to mount such an attack by itself, and in the midst of the US presidential campaign.<\/p>\n

Obviously, the threats are a form of blackmail. They want something from US President Barack Obama, and this wild talk is the way they think they can get it. Their war talk is a form of blackmail. It gives the Republicans ammunition against Obama, since they can say America\u2019s close ally thinks Obama isn\u2019t doing enough. Obama wants the traditionally Democratic Jewish vote and the campaign donations of wealthy Jewish Americans, and Netanyahu is trying to hurt him. So what do they want?<\/p>\n

Obviously, they want Obama to pledge to attack Iran, instead. Specifically, they are said to want Obama to adopt the Israeli \u2018red lines\u2019<\/strong><\/a> on Iran, that its scientific establishment must not be allowed to gain even the abstract knowledge of how to construct a nuclear warhead, on pain of a massive US bombing raid.<\/p>\n

The problem for them is that the US intelligence establishment does not believe Iran is constructing a nuclear warhead, and does not believe that immediate action against Iran on the nuclear issue is warranted. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has forbidden the construction or stockpiling<\/strong><\/a> of actual nuclear weapons. Moreover, as Andy Card might say, a president doesn\u2019t roll out a new product 80 days before an election (you could never be sure a new war would go well, and if it didn\u2019t it might end your presidency).<\/p>\n

Netanyahu and Barak do not disagree with the former assessment. Barak said in January that<\/strong><\/a> \u201cBarak stated that Iran \u201cis evidently not trying to procure nuclear weapons.\u201d<\/p>\n

But for their purposes, even if Iran gains the know-how to construct a bomb, it is a game changer in the Middle East. An Iran with a break-out capability could not be attacked down the road or punished for supporting Hizbullah in Lebanon and Hamas in the Gaza Strip. In fact an Iran with the know-how to make a bomb might spur Israeli out-migration and might make impossible Netanyahu\u2019s plan to annex and colonize the entirety of the West Bank with impunity. Since the \u2018settler-industrial complex\u2019 is key to Netanyahu\u2019s political fortunes, his rhetoric against Iran serves several purposes\u2013 shoring up his rightwing base, reassuring his squatter allies, and changing the terms of the discussion (not, \u2018when will you make peace with the Palestinians?\u2019 but \u2018How can we persuade you not to attack Iran?\u2019)<\/p>\n

Beyond that, Barak and Netanyahu appeared to want to use the US campaign season to box Obama in. If he didn\u2019t promise to use military force against Iran to stop it from gaining even the knowledge of how to construct a nuclear weapon, then they would keep the pressure on through their rhetoric. They might thereby be able to cut back on Jewish-American financial and moral support for Obama. They know that if they do not box him in now, and he wins, they likely will never get their war.<\/p>\n

That is, they were attempting to intervene in an American election as a way of blackmailing the president into pledging to take the country to war on their terms. It is outrageous.<\/p>\n

But the stridency of Netanyahu\u2019s and Barak\u2019s rhetoric alarmed Israeli president Shimon Peres, 89, who intervened with a major policy statement<\/strong><\/a>. He said he trusted President Obama on the Iran issue (definitely not a Netanyahu talking point; Netanyahu is more or less an honorary member of the right wing of the US Republican Party). Peres, who is closer to the traditional American Jewish Democratic mainstream, may also have feared that the clumsy attempt to blackmail Obama and intervene in the election campaign might do lasting damage to Israeli interests.<\/p>\n

Since Israel\u2019s presidency is symbolic, Barak and Netanyahu felt stung, and condemned him for publicly differing with them on policy.<\/p>\n

Nevertheless, the Israeli press appears to believe that Peres\u2019s intervention was decisive\u2013 despite his lack of power, he has influence with the military and intelligence professionals who also oppose Netanyahu\u2019s rash threats against Iran. One Israeli commentator called him a \u2018tie-breaker.\u2019<\/p>\n

The USG Open Source Center translates the Hebrew of Shim\u2019on Schiffer\u2019s column at Yedi\u2019ot Aharonot:<\/p>\n

\u201cNetanyahu and Baraq managed to make Peres lose his cool. Their conduct, the briefings they gave to the media on a possible strike in Iran, and particularly the belligerent attitude toward US President Barack Obama, upset him. Peres believes that Netanyahu and Baraq are liable to lead the country to a horrific reality on the day after a strike, which in any case \u2014 even in their view \u2014 will only postpone the moment at which Iran will acquire nuclear weapons by a year or 18 months. For this reason, he decided to make a presidential statement yesterday, and warn against the possibility of an Israeli strike without coordination and understandings with the United States. It seemed as if he were trying to hint that such course of action was too serious and crucial to be decided by these two fellows, Netanyahu and Baraq. The president\u2019s stance, along with the stance of the top security and intelligence officials, was apparently the final chord, the tiebreaker if you will, in the debate between the supporters and opponents of an Israeli strike. Netanyahu, who declared that he and only he would decide whether to attack and when, will now have to reconsider his firm stance.\u201d<\/p>\n

And here also from the USG Open Source Center:<\/p>\n

\u2018Ben Kaspit on page 3 of Ma\u2019ariv says: \u201cPeres is worried sick, following with anxiety the collapse of the relationship with the United States that has been sustaining Israel for generations, and looking with alarm at the way Netanyahu and Baraq are behaving and managing affairs. He is looking at the diplomatic ruin, at the international isolation, and at the frightening alliance between the two former commandos who have messed up the situation, each in turn, each in his own time \u2014 and is simply afraid.\u201d \u201cShim\u2019on Peres, the elder statesman, the last responsible adult, spoke his mind yesterday. The Americans looked forward to this eagerly, and in the end they got something; too little, too late, but something nonetheless.\u201d<\/p>\n

Predictably, Yisrael Ha-Yom (Israel Today), the rag owned by US casino mogul Sheldon Adelson, Mitt Romney\u2019s main financial backer, condemned Peres for breaking his silence. Netanyahu is to Adelson as the Golden Calf was to the wayward among the Israelites.<\/p>\n

In American campaign terms, Peres has just given the Democratic Party enormous cover. The Democrats can reply to Netanyahu\u2019s criticisms by saying, well, obviously, not all Israeli leaders agree. Since typically most Jewish-Americans vote Democratic, and since American Jews are remarkably civic-minded and give disproportionately to political campaigns, they are a central constituency for that party. Netanyahu probably over-estimates how many of them pay any attention to him, but he could have hoped to have an effect at the margins, which might matter in a close presidential contest.<\/p>\n

But that feisty old octogenarian, Shimon Peres, has shot him down.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

JUAN COLE: Netanyahu and Barak were intent on boxing Obama into a corner. But the wily octogenarian, Shimon Peres, has stepped in. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":70,"featured_media":21683,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[56,82,171,483,60,482],"tags":[4008,423,1103,1583,2024,8550,3041,861,227,18306,18311,2613,18309,191,122,121,1808,2204,1090,6945,18302,2826,2812,580],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mideastposts.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21682"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mideastposts.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mideastposts.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mideastposts.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/70"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mideastposts.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21682"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mideastposts.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21682\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mideastposts.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21683"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mideastposts.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21682"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mideastposts.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21682"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mideastposts.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21682"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}